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Circle of reality - 05 Sep 2011 - CRN UK Feature

Circle of reality - 05 Sep 2011 - CRN UK Feature: "The just-released Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies has suggested that the excitement over cloud computing may have passed its peak, with the market appearing to be on the edge of becoming disillusioned with the technology.
This year’s Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies divides cloud into several phenomena, all placed at different points in the cycle. Cloud computing is flagged as being transformational overall, with the cloud/web platform and private cloud segments both promising “high benefit” to businesses within two to five years.

This contrasts with phenomena such as consumerisation, biometrics and speech recognition, for example, which, to use Gartner’s terms, have climbed out of the “trough of disillusionment” and are moving up the “slope of enlightenment” to reach what it calls the “plateau of productivity” - where the reputation or hype around a technology is more in line, presumably, with reality.

According to Gartner, reaching the plateau of productivity means the real-world benefits of the technology have not only been accepted but the tools and methodologies have entered their second and third generations, becoming increasingly stable and less inherently risky. Increasing numbers of organisations not only adopt the technology, but feel comfortable with it. Gartner says obtaining 20 per cent market share is a likely indicator of a trend having reached this phase of mainstream adoption.

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